I went up this weekend and did a bit of scouting out ahead of the trip. I wound up hooking up with with some other folks on the trail so I was able to get a more scouting in than I was expecting to do solo. Here are some of things I learned.
First off, I saw no snow on any of the roads I was on- hopefully that's the case for the whole route.
Second, Section 3 is definitely still washed out at Mission Peak. There are actually a few different washouts, some of which are passable with effort, but one of which is really only suitable for single track (as Scott indicated). That means where FS35 hits FS9712 we'll take a left instead of a right and head over to Blewett Pass on FS9716. From there we can either just take 97 down to Cashmere to start Section 4, or we can go across 97 to FS7324 (Scotty Creek Road) and then join back up with 97 later. I went a little ways down this road and it looked fine, although the Forest Service still claims it is snow covered. It's just a bit of a bypass to avoid a section of 97, so it's not a major impact if we get down it and have to turn around and come back to 97, so I'd like to give it a shot.
Third, FS7415, which is the beginning of Section 4 at the head of Nehahum Canyon is pretty rutted and pretty overgrown. Ruts looked to be 8-10 inches in spots, although I was able to stay out of the ruts nearly everywhere, and in most places the road was dry and firm around the ruts. There was a bit of mud, but assuming it doesn't rain much between now and next week it will be passable. Everyone should be prepared for the possibility of getting muddy if we have to do an extraction. In sections the underbrush is really overgrown, so expect moderate pinstriping. I didn't find this section of road enjoyable; I would love to find another certain way to get up to FS7400, but the Forest Service claims that Derby Canyon Road is gated at FS7400, which would have been my other choice. So, we'll just try and suffer through this little bit of trouble to get up to the good stuff.
Fourth, it's still pretty cold in the mountains. I camped out near Mission Peak and saw 29 degrees over night. By mid afternoon temps up around 6000 feet were closer to 50, but it's still a good idea to come prepared to cold weather.
Fifth, there is a good chance we'll see trees in the road. I had to backtrack from the washout on FS9712 and after with high wends overnight I quickly found my way blocked by a small tree that wasn't there the day before (see photo). Luckily it was nothing hard to shift, but a good reminder we may need to do some cutting and winching of timber.
Given that we're going to do 97 down to Cashmere I am optimistic that means we'll be able to get up to FS7400 on Section 4 before we sleep for the first night. Then we'll have the choice Sunday of either setting a slow pace and setting up camp early after Ardenvoir, or pushing harder and then getting to Chelan Sunday, giving options on either continuing to Section 5 or calling it quits, depending on how folks are feeling. Sadly our moto contingent has dwindled to a single rider, who will be meeting us towards the end of Day 1.
Looking forward to chatting with folks tomorrow on the prep call!